Dividend and Defensive Holdings by Ten-Year Return

Cans and a glass of Coca-Cola, one of the dividend payers ranked on this list

This is the one ranking on Radar where the ordering is knowingly unfair to its subject. Price return ignores dividends, and dividends are the entire reason most people hold these companies. Publishing it anyway is more useful than hiding it, because the gap between how this list looks and how these holdings actually performed is the clearest possible illustration of why total return is the number that matters.

How this is ordered. Ordered by price return over the trailing ten years, best first. Dividends are excluded, which matters more for this group than for any other list on Radar.

Growth of $10,000 over ten years, for the five highest ranked of the six. Price only, so the income these are held for is not in the line.
WMTSCHDJNJXOMKO
$20,000$40,000$60,000201620182020202220242026
View data table
Growth of $10,000 over ten years, for the five highest ranked of the six. Price only, so the income these are held for is not in the line. Series: WMT, Walmart; SCHD, Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF; JNJ, Johnson & Johnson; XOM, ExxonMobil; KO, Coca-Cola.
DateWMTSCHDJNJXOMKO
Jan 2016$10,000$10,000$10,000$10,000$10,000
Apr 2016$10,077$10,621$10,732$11,355$10,438
Jul 2016$10,996$11,311$11,991$11,426$10,165
Oct 2016$10,552$11,054$11,106$10,703$9,879
Jan 2017$10,057$11,507$10,844$10,776$9,685
Apr 2017$11,329$11,860$11,822$10,488$10,054
Jul 2017$12,054$12,168$12,708$10,281$10,680
Oct 2017$13,157$12,869$13,348$10,706$10,713
Jan 2018$16,064$14,199$13,232$11,214$11,088
Apr 2018$13,330$12,866$12,111$9,987$10,068
Jul 2018$13,446$13,676$12,689$10,470$10,864
Oct 2018$15,112$13,235$13,404$10,235$11,156
Jan 2019$14,441$13,219$12,742$9,413$11,214
Apr 2019$15,497$14,321$13,520$10,312$11,431
Jul 2019$16,634$14,318$12,468$9,552$12,262
Oct 2019$17,670$14,735$12,643$8,680$12,682
Jan 2020$17,253$15,101$14,254$7,979$13,607
Apr 2020$18,317$13,442$14,366$5,969$10,692
Jul 2020$19,500$14,461$13,956$5,405$11,007
Oct 2020$20,909$14,732$13,128$4,190$11,198
Jan 2021$21,171$16,868$15,619$5,760$11,219
Apr 2021$21,083$19,780$15,581$7,353$12,577
Jul 2021$21,481$20,199$16,488$7,395$13,288
Oct 2021$22,517$20,571$15,596$8,281$13,134
Jan 2022$21,068$20,865$16,497$9,757$14,215
Apr 2022$23,055$20,074$17,279$10,951$15,054
Jul 2022$19,899$19,753$16,710$12,451$14,951
Oct 2022$21,448$19,607$16,657$14,234$13,945
Jan 2023$21,680$20,464$15,647$14,902$14,287
Apr 2023$22,750$19,260$15,674$15,201$14,946
Jul 2023$24,090$20,080$16,041$13,775$14,429
Oct 2023$24,625$18,063$14,203$13,597$13,162
Jan 2024$24,902$20,234$15,214$13,206$13,861
Apr 2024$26,831$20,433$13,844$15,192$14,392
Jul 2024$31,031$21,916$15,114$15,233$15,550
Oct 2024$37,048$22,476$15,306$15,001$15,217
Jan 2025$44,376$22,158$14,568$13,723$14,790
Apr 2025$43,965$20,557$14,966$13,568$16,904
Jul 2025$44,295$21,099$15,774$14,340$15,818
Oct 2025$45,741$21,298$18,084$14,690$16,053
Jan 2026$53,861$23,742$21,759$18,163$17,430
Apr 2026$59,643$25,533$22,008$19,824$18,350
Jul 2026$50,271$26,648$24,545$19,967$20,408
Sep 2026$48,440$27,166$25,429$21,322$20,571

Growth of $10,000 from 2016, monthly closes, price return only. Dividends are not reinvested, so income-paying funds are understated here. Market data to September 2026.

  1. 1

    WMT · Walmart

    Retail

    +384%
    Ten-year price return

    Retail. Ten thousand dollars became roughly $48,440 on price alone over the decade. Add reinvested dividends and the real figure is materially higher, which is precisely the point this list is making about judging income holdings on price charts.

    $48,440 from $10,000, price only
  2. 2

    SCHD · Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF

    Dividend-screened ETF

    +172%
    Ten-year price return

    Dividend-screened ETF. Ten thousand dollars became roughly $27,166 on price alone over the decade. Add reinvested dividends and the real figure is materially higher, which is precisely the point this list is making about judging income holdings on price charts.

    $27,166 from $10,000, price only
  3. 3

    JNJ · Johnson & Johnson

    Healthcare

    +154%
    Ten-year price return

    Healthcare. Ten thousand dollars became roughly $25,429 on price alone over the decade. Add reinvested dividends and the real figure is materially higher, which is precisely the point this list is making about judging income holdings on price charts.

    $25,429 from $10,000, price only
  4. 4

    XOM · ExxonMobil

    Energy

    +113%
    Ten-year price return

    Energy. Ten thousand dollars became roughly $21,322 on price alone over the decade. Add reinvested dividends and the real figure is materially higher, which is precisely the point this list is making about judging income holdings on price charts.

    $21,322 from $10,000, price only
  5. 5

    KO · Coca-Cola

    Beverages

    +106%
    Ten-year price return

    Beverages. Ten thousand dollars became roughly $20,571 on price alone over the decade. Add reinvested dividends and the real figure is materially higher, which is precisely the point this list is making about judging income holdings on price charts.

    $20,571 from $10,000, price only
  6. 6

    PG · Procter & Gamble

    Household goods

    +78%
    Ten-year price return

    Household goods. Ten thousand dollars became roughly $17,783 on price alone over the decade. Add reinvested dividends and the real figure is materially higher, which is precisely the point this list is making about judging income holdings on price charts.

    $17,783 from $10,000, price only

If a list of dividend payers ranked by price return looks disappointing, that is the list working as intended. Go and look at total return figures from the fund providers before deciding anything.

Method and limits

Ten years of monthly closes from Stooq with a bundled fallback, ranked on price change only. Reinvested dividends are not included and would raise every row, substantially so for the higher-yielding names. Treat the ordering as a starting point and check total return before drawing any conclusion.

Recomputed automatically from market data, not hand-written. General information only, and not investment advice. See our disclaimer.

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